How Would Climate Change Influence Society in the 21st Century?

Rajendra K. Pachauri leads fellow members of theAndreas Fischlin . This will mean "facing the issue of
Nobel Prize-winning IPCC in a remarkable publicsustainability in the context of climate change to an
session of soul-searching. Now that the IPCC hasextent many of us won't like."
helped make climate change a signal issue of ourResearch challenges in developing nations may
times, what next? John Reilly wonders whether theimpede efforts to "optimize the IPCC's work and help
IPCC should be celebrating any success, given thatin the whole issue of moving toward a more
greenhouse gas emissions continue to rise in spite ofsustainable world." Akimasa Sumi believes IPCC should
all the comprehensive study. Given the "dismalcontinue to have a powerful role in the future,
outcome so far," it's important that the IPCC "avoidbecause the "climate change issue is driven by
the complacency that comes with big awards," andscience." He proposes refining climate models in the
that "much, all of the work is still there to be done."hope of reducing uncertainty around such matters as
"It's probably time for sunset, Michael Golaythe role of aerosols and clouds. He says the focus
suggests." Now that the IPCC has succeeded inmust now be on adaptation and mitigation, particularly
establishing climate change as "a reality among atover a 30-year time scale. The IPCC established its
least the chattering classes," the next step is actuallyrelevance because it drew a line between being policy
a social question, one that is much more difficult thanrelevant and policy prescriptive, says Adil Najam.
coming up with new technologies. "We're really talkingNow, "we need to claim victory on understanding the
about interfering with markets, and doing this in amechanics of the science and stop debating." The
way that doesn't become simply another vehicle fornext step must mean "focusing not on the scope of
creating profits for special interests…." Williamthe problem, but on potential for solutions." Should
Moomaw believes IPCC reports have made possiblethe IPCC attempt to become more prescriptive,
policy and corporate innovations that would havebelieves Howard Herzog, "it would lose respect." In
been unthinkable only a decade ago, and the IPCChis years with the organization, "anytime we got into
should continue to serve in an advisory capacity topolicy prescriptive areas, when we got close to the
the world, laying out the technological and economicline, tensions rose, arguments intensified, we lost
possibilities. Says Moomaw, "We got off to a badconsensus."
start. We talked about global warming as being anHe thinks it's important to continue the IPCC's work,
environmental issue when in fact global warming is abecause the science will change, and we need a
symptom of maldevelopment." The IPCC "should"broker out there to summarize where science is on
continue as the voice of science and help acritical issues.
well-informed society make tough decisions," declares